Several weeks ago was the last time I published information on Bullish Percent Indicators. Friday's market decline is the motivation for posting this information as I am interested in how the decline of U.S. Equities impacted the Point and Figure graphs. An earlier version was deleted from the Internet so this is a quick second version of this blog post. BPI Indexes All major indexes are … [Read More...]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 5) – 12 November 2021
A pause this week with no new highs in the US equity markets: The SPX (S&P 500 Index) closed down ~0.25% from last week's close after a pullback that moved it slightly outside the regression channel (heavy blue lines) but not outside the … [Read more]
Photo Enhancement: Where Condors Soar
On a recent trip to Southern California, when traveling south on Route #101, the GPS recommended moving off #101 and taking a more mountainous road, Route #154. Intuitively, this seemed like a false recommendation. Why leave a four-lane highway for … [Read more]
If Only I Had Been Smart Enough …..
In my recent Rutherford Review Post I spent a little time describing some of the features of Fibonacci Technical Analysis. I mentioned that I don't usually use this analysis for Investment purposes (other than, maybe, to help me set stop loss orders) … [Read more]
Kepler Portfolio Review: 2 November 2021
After over a week of travel I'm back at the blog, only to find my primary desktop computer having a tantrum. The "blue screen of death" showed up while I was working on the Kepler Excel spreadsheet. Meanwhile, on to the Kepler update. Kepler … [Read more]
Using Volatility as a Diversifier and a Portfolio Hedge
One of the biggest challenges in Portfolio Construction results from the desire to generate positive returns (within acceptable volatility limits) under any/all market conditions. Our overall objectives are to generate maximum returns with minimum … [Read more]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 3) – 29 October 2021
US Equities hit new all-time highs on Friday and closed the week ~1.3% higher than last week's close: We are still in an upward trend channel after breaking the downtrend a little over two weeks ago and breaking above resistance at ~4545 last week. … [Read more]
Hawking Portfolio Review – 29 October 2021
The Hawking Portfolio, although holding more assets than other portfolios (~30) is easier to manage since the objective is to keep adjustments/trades to a minimum with no exit rules other than to use a 3 Standard Deviation TSLO order as "disaster" … [Read more]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 29 October 2021
The Kahneman-Tversky portfolio is presently sitting with 100% in Cash after 1.65 Standard Deviation TSLO's were hit on 4 October, shortly after the last review. The equity/performance graph looks like this: As we can see from the above screenshot … [Read more]
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