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You are here: Home / Archives for Critical Material

Back Testing Issues: Remain Skeptical of Results

January 12, 2015 By Lowell Herr

Ernest Stokley was kind enough to spend time learning a new software language in order to run back-tests on ETFs used to populate ITA portfolios.  There is an abundance of noise or uncertainty when analyzing data for back-testing.  Here are a few examples. Actual Buy and Sell prices will not

Filed Under: Critical Material Tagged With: Critical Material

Gordon Equation Revisited: A Time To Be Cautious

December 17, 2014 By Lowell Herr

Back on December 16, 2009 I wrote a blog and then revised it in 2010.  (Excuse the different size fonts as that comes from a copy and paste.) Those original writings are how history.  This is the latest update of the Gordon Equation.  I first learned of this equation while

Filed Under: Critical Material Tagged With: Critical Material

Why I Use Index ETFs

August 7, 2014 By Lowell Herr

Why I use Index Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).  Let me count the ways. Simplicity:  It saves the work of stock analysis. Increases probability of success:  A literature search of index investing vs.

Filed Under: Beginning Investors, Critical Material, Passive vs. Active Tagged With: Beginning Investors, Critical Material, Passive vs. Active

Regression Analysis and The Schwert Effect

July 21, 2014 By Lowell Herr

  Regression Analysis is the investment communities effort to apply the scientific method to portfolio analysis.  Let’s take a little time to explain what is meant by Regression Analysis.  As you might remember from your math and science classes, data is plotted on an Y – X

Filed Under: Beginning Investors, Critical Material Tagged With: Critical Material

Useful Website: Transparent Investing

March 10, 2014 By Lowell Herr

Last evening I was made aware of a useful and interesting website titled, Transparent Investing.  Even if you lose track of this blog you will be able to find this site by going to the ITA Blog tab, and then scrolling down to Bookmarks.  There you will find the

Filed Under: Beginning Investors, Critical Material Tagged With: Beginning Investors, Critical Material

Tactical Asset Allocation: Does It Make Sense?

January 9, 2014 By Lowell Herr

Here is the link to a particularly useful article for ITA readers.  As you read the article, pay particular attention to the fundamentals that provide clues as to whether or not the market is likely to generate lower than average, average, or above average returns over the next 10

Filed Under: Critical Material Tagged With: Critical Material

Retirement Planning Mistake #5

October 30, 2013 By Lowell Herr

This celestial object looks like a delicate butterfly. But it is far from serene. What resemble dainty butterfly wings are actually roiling cauldrons of gas heated to nearly 20 000 degrees Celsius. The gas is tearing across space at more than 950 000 kilometres per hour — fast enough to

Filed Under: Beginning Investors, Critical Material, Passive vs. Active, Retirement Planning Tagged With: Critical Material, Retirement Planning

Retirement Planning Mistake #4

October 29, 2013 By Lowell Herr

  Investors lack knowledge about the importance of asset allocation.  Investors do not educate themselves as to the importance of asset allocation, and what asset classes tend to perform better than others over the long-run. I need not go into the importance of overcoming this mistake as I

Filed Under: Beginning Investors, Critical Material, Retirement Planning Tagged With: Critical Material, Retirement Planning

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