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Recent Blog Entry

Copernicus Portfolio Update: 24 December 2025

Merry Christmas Copernicus is the last portfolio up for review before Christmas.  The major change is to reduce holdings in VOO and shift the percentage over to RSP.  The reason for this move is to reduce exposure to mega-cap stocks that are over-valued and to increase exposure to mid- and … [Read More...]

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ITA Membership

To register as a Guest, click on this link and fill our the short form.  Please place ITA in front of your user name so I know you are not a Spam registrant. ITA Wealth Management is now free to all readers who register as a Guest.  After registering, wait at least 24 hours so I can elevate you from the Guest level to the Platinum level.  Many of the blog posts are available without any … [Read More]

Critical Material

Charles Ellis: Loser’s Game of Stock Picking

Let’s revisit Charles D. Ellis’ 1995 paper, “The Loser’s Game,” where he describes his Break-Even Return (BER) equation. Here is a review of this equation. BER = [(Turnover percentage x Transaction Cost) + Management Fee + Target Return]/Market Return It is quite easy to set up this equation in an Excel spreadsheet and play around with different variables. … [Read More...]

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Schrodinger Portfolio Review: 15 March 2023

March 14, 2023 By Lowell Herr

One of two reference portfolios is the Schrodinger.  The other is the Copernicus.  Were one to lose all spreadsheets and access to databases, these two different investing models would survive and serve the investor quite well.  As for the term … [Read more]

Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 4): 10 March 2023

March 11, 2023 By hedgehunter

It was a brutal week in the US equity markets with stocks down ~5% on the week: This has taken us below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and other potential support levels at ~3940 and back into the 1 SD downtrend channel that started at the … [Read more]

Hawking Portfolio Review: 3 March, 2023

March 5, 2023 By hedgehunter

The Hawking Portfolio is an "Income" portfolio built from Closed-End-Funds (CEFs). As such, it requires very little management, other than to re-invest any dividends paid, except for occasional reviews to check on current yields … [Read more]

Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 3 March 2023

March 4, 2023 By hedgehunter

The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum (DM) Portfolio that needs little adjustment/management. The choice is to invest in only one of three ETFs or move to Cash (or SHY). The only "complexity" comes from the fact that the portfolio … [Read more]

Darwin Portfolio Review: 3 March 2023

March 4, 2023 By hedgehunter

The Darwin Portfolio is a risk-adjusted allocation model with volatility targeting used to determine how many shares of each asset to hold. The portfolio holds only 5 conventional, but diversified, asset classes plus a 10% holding in a volatility … [Read more]

Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 3): 3 March 2023

March 4, 2023 By hedgehunter

Two really bullish days at the end of the week resulted in a ~2% gain in US Equities as measured by the S&P 500 Index: Although support at 3940 was tested at the beginning of the week there wasn't enough bearish sentiment to push prices below … [Read more]

Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 2): 24 February 2023

February 25, 2023 By hedgehunter

As we approach the end of February we see that the apparent recovery in US equities may not be as strong as we may have thought. This week saw another drop of ~2.7% in the SPX (S&P 500 Index) from last week's … [Read more]

Bullish Percent Indicators: 24 February 2023

February 25, 2023 By Lowell Herr

Bullish Percent Indicators are ending February in a downward trend.  All major indexes are bearish, yet none are in the over-sold zone.  We need to check on Sectors to pick up an over-sold condition. Just a short word regarding the above … [Read more]

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General Investment News

Portfolios coming up for review.  Gauss, Bohr, Copernicus, and Franklin are the critical portfolios next up for review.  Non-scheduled portfolios may be reviewed.  If you are a new user, check the posts you missed. Links to Random Posts are found in the lower right-hand footer or just to the right of what you are now reading.  Most popular posts are found in the lower left-hand footer.

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Random Posts

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  • Millikan Preparation for 2026
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  • Bullish Percent Indicators: 21 April 2023
  • Copernicus Portfolio Review: 21 January 2025
  • Bullish Percent Indicators: 28 July 2023
  • Franklin Portfolio Update: 8 April 2025
  • Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 5 April, 2024

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