We start off the New Year with the following picture of performance for the Kahneman-Tversky (K-T) Portfolio through 2022: The portfolio showed less volatility than the benchmark AOR Fund but returns were slightly lower with a ~16% draw-down on the year. This compares with a drop of ~19% in US equities over the same period. […]
Darwin Portfolio Review: 6 January 2023
The Darwin Portfolio is a relatively inert portfolio in that all assets in the portfolio quiver are held continuously (Buy-and-Hold) in allocations designed to keep the risk from each asset at defined levels as calculated from volatility measurements over time. Throughout most of 2022 I had this risk level set to a rather high level […]
Carson Portfolio Review: 9 January 2023
With no Bullish Percent Indicators positioned in either the over-bought or over-sold zones, I could have skipped this update of the Carson. No changes are required at this time. There is one change in the Sector BPI model that I’ll explain in a moment and it has to do with how one determines the maximum […]
Bullish Percent Indicators: 6 January 2023
Bullish Percent Indicators for this first week in January indicate no sectors are over-sold. Technology move above the 30% bullish line yesterday as it was the lone over-sold sector on Thursday. If you are managing a Sector BPI portfolio and using end-of-week data, you will do nothing this week. Follow along. Index BPI Overall, the […]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 30 December, 2022
The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, that uses the simplest Dual Momentum (DM) model to select one asset from a basket of three, did not perform particularly well in 2022: closing down ~18.4% on the year. While this is slightly less than the ~20% drop in value of US equities over the same period it does not beat […]
Preparing the Millikan For Transition: 26 December 2022
Within the last few weeks I set up the Carson and Franklin to operate as Sector BPI portfolios. Over the next few weeks the Millikan and Gauss will join the original two. The Millikan and Gauss are laggards and not performing as well as expected. That is the motivation for the change. Millikan Investment Quiver […]
Merry Christmas
“Anyone who possesses the fine virtues of politeness, tolerance and generosity, honesty, diligence and benevolence can be regarded as a person of humanity. Politeness will save one from the insults of others; tolerance and generosity will evoke the love of others; honesty brings trust from people; diligence foretells success; and benevolence encourages others to […]
What To Do If The Kipling Spreadsheet Becomes Inoperative?
ITA readers who are using the Kipling spreadsheet in any form are aware that Finance-Yahoo (Yahoo) once more altered their downloading codes so we cannot pull security prices into the spreadsheet. Fortunately we have a backup system from Tiingo. If you do not have a Tiingo account (still free to my knowledge) set one up […]
Buying Guidelines For BPI Model Portfolios: 9 December 2022
BPI Model buying guidelines. Two of the sixteen portfolios I track here on the ITA blog are now managed using the Bullish Percent Indicator (BPI) Model. They are: Carson and Franklin. Thus far there have been few buying opportunities as the U.S. Equities market is in a mini-bull phase. It may turn into a full […]
ITA Portfolios: Breaking The Models Into Groups
Sixteen portfolios are currently under management at ITA Wealth Management. This does not include portfolios managed by Hedgehunter. This blog post explains to readers how the different portfolios are handled or managed. Each of the sixteen portfolios are reviewed at least every 33 calendar days. Several, such as the Carson, are updated each week. To […]
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