Ernest Stokley was kind enough to spend time learning a new software language in order to run back-tests on ETFs used to populate ITA portfolios. There is an abundance of noise or uncertainty when analyzing data for back-testing. Here are a few examples. Actual Buy and Sell prices will not match back-testing Buy and Sell […]
Retirement Planning Mistake #11
Although alluded to in this “mistake series,” an emphasis, or special attention needs to be given to portfolio volatility or risk management. Even if we are tracking portfolio risk as identified by either the Information Ratio (IR), Sortino Ratio (SR) and/or Retirement Ratio (RR), we need to focus on protecting capital. Imagine you retired in […]
Expectancy
I have mentioned the concept of “expectancy” a number of times on this site and a Platinum Member recently asked me for a reference to a post on the subject. The references are somewhere in the comments sections of various posts so I thought it might be more useful for me to dedicate a short, […]
William Bernstein Recommends Saving More and Spending Less
William J. Bernstein, in a recent interview, projects modest market gains (2% net expenses) over next two decades. That does not bode well for the 45 to 55 age generation. Here is a quote from the Bernstein interview. “The way you’re going to get rich is by working hard; not spending a lot of money […]
Asset Allocation Is Not Responsible For 90% of Portfolio Returns
One of the more misunderstood results to come out of the Brinson et al papers is the statement that 90% of a portfolio returns is a result of asset allocation. This paper by Mitch Tuchman gets it wrong. Check the first paragraph under Reducing Risk. 90% of a portfolio return is not tied to asset […]
The One Page “Investment Book”
How to simplify investing is a clarion call from many investors who are either busy working, have little interest in investing, or are very young with minimal experience. In an effort to respond to this frequent request, I set out to condense an investing model into a few words. This Seeking Alpha link is my […]
The Skeptical Investor: Should I Follow An Active or Passive Management Model?
What if you fall into the investor class who is not completely convinced of the benefits of the momentum model or active management? Is there a middle ground where one might combine the Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) model and the momentum model? It is easy to be torn between active management and passive management as […]
ITA Wealth Management Review: Catching Up
With new Platinum members joining on a regular basis, and no portfolios up for review today, now is a good time to summarize what this blog is all about. Long-time readers, and those who have taken the time to read a significant portion of the available material, witnessed an evolution in the investment philosophy of […]
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