The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, that uses the simplest Dual Momentum (DM) model to select one asset from a basket of three, did not perform particularly well in 2022: closing down ~18.4% on the year. While this is slightly less than the ~20% drop in value
Using Rotation Data in an Investment Strategy Model
Regular readers of this blog will be aware that I have been trying to define a model that might use data generated from calculations of momentum/relative strength that generates “rotational” graphs that look like this: Where we see a general clockwise rotation of momentum over time
Learning More About Options
This post is a follow-up to comments/requests made in response to my recent post on “Protecting Portfolio Performance” (https://itawealth.com/protecting-portfolio-performance/). Understanding Options can be a difficult subject – but understanding Options is nowhere near as difficult as learning how to make money trading Options – and this
Response to Comments made by ITA member (John Shelton)
In reaction to my recent Rutherford Review post (https://itawealth.com/rutherford-portfolio-review-tranche-5-21-january-2022/ ) John Shelton commented and asked the following questions: “Thx for the very gloomy report. From a psychological perspective, what influence do these trend parameters have on the BHS
Hindsight is 2021 – A Year-End Retrospective and Lessons for 2022
Portfolio Construction The following screenshot tells us almost all we really need to know about 2021 – it was a great year to invest in US equities: The S&P 500 Index was up 29% on the year with 70 new highs on the way up and
If Only I Had Been Smart Enough …..
In my recent Rutherford Review Post I spent a little time describing some of the features of Fibonacci Technical Analysis. I mentioned that I don’t usually use this analysis for Investment purposes (other than, maybe, to help me set stop loss orders) but that
Using Volatility as a Diversifier and a Portfolio Hedge
One of the biggest challenges in Portfolio Construction results from the desire to generate positive returns (within acceptable volatility limits) under any/all market conditions. Our overall objectives are to generate maximum returns with minimum risk. But returns and risk are inexorably linked – with returns tending to be
Thoughts on “Dividend Income Investing” and other Philosophical Topics.
In a recent comment (https://itawealth.com/huygens-portfolio-review-4-october-2021/#comment-31289) an ITA member asked us for our thoughts on an article entitled “8 Reasons Why I’m Not a Dividend Income Investor”. Before addressing these “8 Reasons” I first want to re-iterate the point that we make all the
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