As we move towards the mid-term elections it is appropriate that we recognize the historical significance of the "Presidential Cycle": Thus, although most of us are very nervous that we are close to all-time highs in the SPX (S&P 500 Index), US Equities are up ~14% so far this year in a year that has historically been the weakest, averaging only 5%. Add to that the fact that the third year … [Read More...]
Gauss Portfolio Update: 6 January 2023
Gauss, a former Relative Momentum portfolio, is the Sector BPI Model account up for review or update this morning. When I update a Sector BPI portfolio I collect the most recent Bullish Percent Indicator data possible. That was very important this … [Read more]
Franklin Portfolio Update: 5 January 2023
Franklin is another Sector BPI portfolio and one I would have passed over this week were it not for a recommended change. Follow along with the logic below. … [Read more]
Kepler Portfolio Review: 4 January 2023
Kepler, one of two remaining Relative Momentum portfolios, is the account up for review today. This review comes at a time when the U.S. Congress is a mess and we have concerns such disruptions may work their way into the financial markets. Readers … [Read more]
Positioning The Millikan: 3 January 2023
Millikan is one of the portfolios in transition from the Relative Momentum model over to the Sector BPI model. This blog explains where the Millikan is in the transition and how I am repositioning the portfolio. It is really quite simple so follow … [Read more]
Carson Update: 31 December 2022
What changes if any are required of the Carson Sector BPI portfolio based on BPI data from last week? Follow the analysis below to see if any changes are required by the sector BPI rules. If you recall, only VDC and VGT are implicated or require … [Read more]
Schrodinger Update Launching 2023: 2 January 2023
The above photo represents 2022 as we put it to rest, but not forgotten. There are always lessons to be learned from troubled times. This morning I am updating the Schrodinger as it is my "portfolio reference." Since the Schrodinger is a Robo … [Read more]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 30 December, 2022
The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, that uses the simplest Dual Momentum (DM) model to select one asset from a basket of three, did not perform particularly well in 2022: closing down ~18.4% on the year. While this is slightly less than the ~20% drop in … [Read more]
How Bad Was 2022?: 31 December 2022
As investors we know 2022 was a poor year, particularly for stocks or equities. Just how bad was it? The following performance table lays out the painful news. One does need to remember that 2021 was a stellar year so we need to accept the bad … [Read more]
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