It has been months since I last published Bullish Percent Indicator (BPI) data as little changed until the last several weeks. This past week we had sufficient volatility to where several sectors dropped into the oversold zone and we purchased sector ETFs to take advantage of the decline. … [Read More...]
Millikan Portfolio Update: 10 January 2023
Millikan, one of four Sector BPI portfolios, is the model up for review this morning. This portfolio previously was managed using the BHS/Relative Momentum model and was not performing as expected. I just checked and it ranked #14 based on IRR data … [Read more]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 9 January, 2023
We start off the New Year with the following picture of performance for the Kahneman-Tversky (K-T) Portfolio through 2022: The portfolio showed less volatility than the benchmark AOR Fund but returns were slightly lower with a ~16% draw-down on the … [Read more]
Darwin Portfolio Review: 6 January 2023
The Darwin Portfolio is a relatively inert portfolio in that all assets in the portfolio quiver are held continuously (Buy-and-Hold) in allocations designed to keep the risk from each asset at defined levels as calculated from volatility measurements … [Read more]
Carson Portfolio Review: 9 January 2023
With no Bullish Percent Indicators positioned in either the over-bought or over-sold zones, I could have skipped this update of the Carson. No changes are required at this time. There is one change in the Sector BPI model that I'll explain in a … [Read more]
Bullish Percent Indicators: 6 January 2023
Bullish Percent Indicators for this first week in January indicate no sectors are over-sold. Technology move above the 30% bullish line yesterday as it was the lone over-sold sector on Thursday. If you are managing a Sector BPI portfolio and using … [Read more]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 30 December, 2022
The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, that uses the simplest Dual Momentum (DM) model to select one asset from a basket of three, did not perform particularly well in 2022: closing down ~18.4% on the year. While this is slightly less than the ~20% drop in … [Read more]
Preparing the Millikan For Transition: 26 December 2022
Within the last few weeks I set up the Carson and Franklin to operate as Sector BPI portfolios. Over the next few weeks the Millikan and Gauss will join the original two. The Millikan and Gauss are laggards and not … [Read more]
Merry Christmas
"Anyone who possesses the fine virtues of politeness, tolerance and generosity, honesty, diligence and benevolence can be regarded as a person of humanity. Politeness will save one from the insults of others; tolerance and generosity will … [Read more]
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