US Equities returned to their sideways consolidation mode this week: closing only slightly (0.1%) higher than last week's close. We remain in a bullish uptrend channel but are sitting at the bottom of the channel as we wait to see whether the trend continues or whether we fall out of the channel and see a pullback/correction. To date the ~7620 level has acted as effective support. Compared to … [Read More...]
Bethe Sector BPI Portfolio Review: 5 July 2024
The big decision facing the Bethe is what to do with nearly half the portfolio resting in cash. It looks like this is not a summer to "Sell in May and go play." Over the last few days shares of VTI and VOO were added to the Bethe. It goes against … [Read more]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 3 July, 2024
Last month I switched my position in the faster moving Tversky portion of this Dual Momentum portfolio to International equities (VEU) from US equities (VTI). This proved to be a poor move since VTI has outperformed VEU over the past month and, as we … [Read more]
Millikan Sector BPI Portfolio Review: 3 July 2024
One of the better performing Sector BPI portfolios is the Millikan even though it has only been using the model for 19 months. We are beginning to build a historical data base we can use to move forward with the model. Some of this evidence is … [Read more]
Pauling Asset Allocation Portfolio Review: 2 July 2024
Pauling is one of three asset allocation portfolios I watch over here at ITA. The other two are the Schrodinger and the Huygens. Pauling and Huygens are new to this model as each has only been operational for three months. Asset Allocation as an … [Read more]
Gauss Sector BPI Portfolio Review: 2 July 2024
Gauss kicks off the first Sector BPI portfolio in July. The latest BPI data is not recommending any changes that influence current sector holdings in the Gauss. With 41% of the portfolio in cash some decisions are required. Follow along as I walk … [Read more]
Copernicus Equity Only Portfolio Update: 1 July 2024
Copernicus is a U.S. Equity only portfolio. In other words, the only investments are U.S. Equity ETFs. As such the Copernicus is nearly guaranteed to outperform the S&P 500 if two conditions are met. 1) The market is higher when the performance … [Read more]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 1): 28 June 2024
US equities, as measured by the performance of the S&P 500 Index (SPX), closed the week slightly lower than last week's close after consolidating sideways for most of the week and battling with the 5500 resistance level. Markets were weak on … [Read more]
Schrodinger Intelligent Portfolio Update: 28 June 2024
Saturday is not a normal day for me to update a portfolio as I prefer to buy and sell securities, if the analysis calls for a change, when the market is open. That is not the case with the Schrodinger as I don't make the management decisions. Buy … [Read more]
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