It’s the year of the Rabbit and we’re hopping around tentatively trying to find a direction for the markets in 2023: I’ve updated the trend channels in the above figure, since these are somewhat discretionary, but it is not clear whether we are still in a downtrend (sitting at the top of the downtrend channel) […]

It was a bullish week for US equities with the SPX up over 2.6% on the week: and touching (but not closing above) the 4100 level that might indicate a reversal of the 2022 downtrend. In terms of relative strength, US equities outperformed all other major asset classes except for US Real estate: Current holdings […]

US Equities had another strong week with the S&P 500 Index up close to 2% on the week and ~7.7% in the month from the closing price on 31 December 2022: We have now taken out the prior December high at 4100 and closed above this level – so we could tentatively call a valid […]

My apologies for not posting a Tranche 5 review last week but adjustments were made as reported below. Now that I am back from my travels, with reliable internet connections,  I will get back to my regular posting schedules. US equities closed relatively unchanged from last week’s close and are still sitting at the center […]

As we approach the end of February we see that the apparent recovery in US equities may not be as strong as we may have thought. This week saw another drop of ~2.7% in the SPX (S&P 500 Index) from last week’s close and we are now up only 3.4% on the year after hitting […]

Two really bullish days at the end of the week resulted in a ~2% gain in US Equities as measured by the S&P 500 Index: Although support at 3940 was tested at the beginning of the week there wasn’t enough bearish sentiment to push prices below this level and now, maybe, we are heading back […]

It was a difficult week in the US equity markets with the SPX gaining ~1% in a volatile week of market action: We are at the bottom of a 2 SD  short-term uptrend channel and close to the top of a 2 SD longer term downtrend channel. There is support/resistance in this general area and […]