The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum Portfolio that requires few adjutments since it only has a choice of holding one of 3 assets. Here’s where the portfolio is sitting at present: Checking the slower moving Kahneman portion of the portfolio that uses a single 252-day (12 month) lookback to measure momentum, the rotation […]

The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum portfolio that invests in only one asset in each portion of a 2-split portfolio where the split is based on different look-back periods to measure Momentum. The Kahneman portion uses a single 252-day lookback period to measure momentum – and this reacts slowly to changes in market […]

I am a little slow posting this review as I analyzed/adjusted it last week. However, it’s a simple and slow moving portfolio so the tardiness is likely not too significant. Prior to the adjustments I was holding VEA (International Equities) in the Kahneman portion of the portfolio and Cash (SHY) in the Tversky portion and […]

The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum Portfolio where we pick only one of three assets in our investment quiver (providing they have positive momentum relative to SHY – our “risk-free” benchmark fund). The only diversification here is that we split the portfolio and use a long-term (252-day) momentum look-back period for one half […]

The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum (DM) Portfolio that needs little adjustment/management. The choice is to invest in only one of three ETFs or move to Cash (or SHY). The only “complexity” comes from the fact that the portfolio is split into two portions that use different look-back periods to measure Momentum. Performance […]

The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum Portfolio that needs little management/adjustment. It is split into two portions – one that is relatively slow in reacting to changes in market conditions – the Kahneman portion – and one that reacts a little more quickly (but may be more subject to whipsaw trades) – the […]

We start off the New Year with the following picture of performance for the Kahneman-Tversky (K-T) Portfolio through 2022: The portfolio showed less volatility than the benchmark AOR Fund but returns were slightly lower with a ~16% draw-down on the year. This compares with a drop of ~19% in US equities over the same period. […]

The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, that uses the simplest Dual Momentum (DM) model to select one asset from a basket of three, did not perform particularly well in 2022: closing down ~18.4% on the year. While this is slightly less than the ~20% drop in value of US equities over the same period it does not beat […]