Kepler is the asset allocation portfolio scheduled for a review this morning. The current lineup of ETFs is only three months old so we have little data as to whether this new asset allocation mix will improve the historically poor performance of the Kepler. As currently constructed the portfolio will throw off approximately 4.0% in dividends, and that is without the portfolio being in … [Read More...]
Why I Use Index ETFs
Why I use Index Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Let me count the ways. Simplicity: It saves the work of stock analysis. Increases probability of success: A literature search of index investing vs. active stock picking will have the honest … [Read more]
Where To Begin If You Have Never Managed a Portfolio*
If someone asked you what to do with an inheritance or 401(k) sum of money, what advice would you give them? Here are some basic ideas for a novice investor. Assume the money is in your checking account and available to be invested. Open up a … [Read more]
Feynman Portfolio Study: Part 10-3
Momentum Weighted Portfolio A modification of the Rank Weighted (RW) Momentum Portfolio described in Part 10-2 of this Study is what I have called the Momentum Weighted (MW) Portfolio. This strategy uses a proprietary algorithm to calculate … [Read more]
Regression Analysis and The Schwert Effect
Regression Analysis is the investment communities effort to apply the scientific method to portfolio analysis. Let's take a little time to explain what is meant by Regression Analysis. As you might remember from your math and science … [Read more]
Gounod’s Messe solennelle de Sainte Cecile
Gounod's "Messe solennelle en l'honneur de Sainte Cecile" contains some of the most beautiful music one might ever want to hear. My favorite selections from this masterpiece are Sanctus and Benedictus, cuts five and six. I first heard Sanctus in … [Read more]
“Markowitz” Projections During Great Recession
Readers who have been following the discussion on future return projections will find the following information of interest. Using the Hoadley "Efficient Frontier" software, I set out to see what the optimal projections would be for three different … [Read more]
Basic Portfolio and Current ETF Rankings
The following data table includes the latest ETF rankings for 20 basic ETFs and the Buy-Hold-Sell recommendations. GLD is the only ETF under-performing SHY so I would avoid gold as an investment. ETF Rankings: The overall strength of this market … [Read more]
Asset Allocation – Risk Parity Revisited: Part 2
In my previous Risk Parity Part 1 post I presented possible ways that funds might be allocated to momentum-ranked assets without any filtering to ensure diversification. One possible weakness of this simple form of momentum ranking is that highly … [Read more]
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