In my previous Risk Parity Part 1 post I presented possible ways that funds might be allocated to momentum-ranked assets without any filtering to ensure diversification. One possible weakness of this simple form of momentum ranking is that highly correlated assets may rank similarly within the listings – this may be either a good thing (if all assets continue to outperform) or a bad thing (if all assets underperform).
To overcome this possible weakness I have introduced the concepts and benefits of filtering the asset list by breaking the list into “Clusters” where assets within the clusters are highly correlated but correlation between the clusters is less correlated so as to generate diversification within the chosen portfolio (by limiting the assets from each cluster).
The following figure shows the BuySellHold sheet of the same Feynman spreadsheet used in the last Post with the assets sorted (primarily) by Cluster and (secondarily) by rank (new feature):
For this example I have chosen to restrict the number of assets to four, one from each of the top 4 ranked clusters.
For these 4 assets, possible allocations (without Risk Parity adjustments) are shown in the figure below:
The allocation methods are identical to those described in my earlier Post i.e. Equal Weighted, Rank Weighted and Momentum Weighted (as used in the first figure above).
If we apply the Risk Parity adjustment (involving volatility and correlation factors) we arrive at adjusted weightings as shown below:
In my next Post I will be introducing a new method of momentum ranking, followed by Posts showing possible allocations with/without risk parity adjustments as above.
David
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David: thanks for the Cluster-Rank sorting, I think that’s a great addition.
Perhaps I missed it, or I’m jumping the gun, but what is the purpose of the 50%, 30%, 20% setting boxes on the allocation sheets?
Thanks,
Rick
Rick,
When the original 18 ETF list is reduced in number by the cluster analysis, the remaining ETFs need to be re-ranked. Normally they will stay in the same general order (although occasionally they do change slightly if they are closely ranked – similar momentum values). The weighting algorithm needs the “Weighted” numbers from the re-ranked “short-list” to calculate the suggested allocations. These calculations are all done in the background. The 50/30/20 numbers are simply transferred from the Ranking Sheet for consistency.
David