As we move towards the mid-term elections it is appropriate that we recognize the historical significance of the "Presidential Cycle": Thus, although most of us are very nervous that we are close to all-time highs in the SPX (S&P 500 Index), US Equities are up ~14% so far this year in a year that has historically been the weakest, averaging only 5%. Add to that the fact that the third year … [Read More...]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 3): 12 July 2024
US Equities continued their climb to new all-time highs again this week with the SPX (S&P 500 Index) closing the week ~0.9% higher than last week's close: I am still anticipating that this ~5680 level will provide resistance although emotional … [Read more]
Hawking Portfolio Review: 5 June, 2024
The Hawking Portfolio is a High Yield "Income" portfolio that requires only a modest amount of attention other than to re-invest dividends so as to generate geometric "growth". Since the portfolio generates ~$1,000 per month and I had over $3,000 … [Read more]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 2): 5 July 2024
Another bullish week in US Equity markets and another week with new all-time highs - the momentum continues: We finally broke through the ~5500 level in the SPX (S&P 5oo Index) that also corresponded to a ~50% extension of the prior (Nov 2023 - … [Read more]
Bethe Sector BPI Portfolio Review: 5 July 2024
The big decision facing the Bethe is what to do with nearly half the portfolio resting in cash. It looks like this is not a summer to "Sell in May and go play." Over the last few days shares of VTI and VOO were added to the Bethe. It goes against … [Read more]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 3 July, 2024
Last month I switched my position in the faster moving Tversky portion of this Dual Momentum portfolio to International equities (VEU) from US equities (VTI). This proved to be a poor move since VTI has outperformed VEU over the past month and, as we … [Read more]
Millikan Sector BPI Portfolio Review: 3 July 2024
One of the better performing Sector BPI portfolios is the Millikan even though it has only been using the model for 19 months. We are beginning to build a historical data base we can use to move forward with the model. Some of this evidence is … [Read more]
Pauling Asset Allocation Portfolio Review: 2 July 2024
Pauling is one of three asset allocation portfolios I watch over here at ITA. The other two are the Schrodinger and the Huygens. Pauling and Huygens are new to this model as each has only been operational for three months. Asset Allocation as an … [Read more]
Gauss Sector BPI Portfolio Review: 2 July 2024
Gauss kicks off the first Sector BPI portfolio in July. The latest BPI data is not recommending any changes that influence current sector holdings in the Gauss. With 41% of the portfolio in cash some decisions are required. Follow along as I walk … [Read more]
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