Despite the negative reaction and high volatility following Wednesday’s Fed announcements the SPX (S&P 500 Equity Index) managed to close the week a little over 1% higher from last week’s close: However price is still sitting at the top of a 2 SD long term downtrend channel and the bottom of a shorter term bullish […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 5): 17 March 2023
It was a difficult week in the US equity markets with the SPX gaining ~1% in a volatile week of market action: We are at the bottom of a 2 SD short-term uptrend channel and close to the top of a 2 SD longer term downtrend channel. There is support/resistance in this general area and […]
Bullish Percent Indicators: 18 March 2023
This week the Bullish Percent Indicators produce interesting information as well as several anomalies. If you are an investor interested or already using the Sector BPI model, there is new information for readers. Index BPI Friday’s market action produced several anomalies. For example, check out the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA). Both […]
Schrodinger Portfolio Review: 15 March 2023
One of two reference portfolios is the Schrodinger. The other is the Copernicus. Were one to lose all spreadsheets and access to databases, these two different investing models would survive and serve the investor quite well. As for the term reference, I compare all the other portfolios tracked here at ITA with the Schrodinger as […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 4): 10 March 2023
It was a brutal week in the US equity markets with stocks down ~5% on the week: This has taken us below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and other potential support levels at ~3940 and back into the 1 SD downtrend channel that started at the bebinning of the year. This suggests a possible […]
Hawking Portfolio Review: 3 March, 2023
The Hawking Portfolio is an “Income” portfolio built from Closed-End-Funds (CEFs). As such, it requires very little management, other than to re-invest any dividends paid, except for occasional reviews to check on current yields (min 8% target) and discount/premium to Net Asset Value (NAV). The Portfolio is currently holding 25 CEFs with an estimated annual […]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 3 March 2023
The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum (DM) Portfolio that needs little adjustment/management. The choice is to invest in only one of three ETFs or move to Cash (or SHY). The only “complexity” comes from the fact that the portfolio is split into two portions that use different look-back periods to measure Momentum. Performance […]
Darwin Portfolio Review: 3 March 2023
The Darwin Portfolio is a risk-adjusted allocation model with volatility targeting used to determine how many shares of each asset to hold. The portfolio holds only 5 conventional, but diversified, asset classes plus a 10% holding in a volatility product (depending on whether volatility is expected to increase or decrease) as a portfolio hedge. A […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 3): 3 March 2023
Two really bullish days at the end of the week resulted in a ~2% gain in US Equities as measured by the S&P 500 Index: Although support at 3940 was tested at the beginning of the week there wasn’t enough bearish sentiment to push prices below this level and now, maybe, we are heading back […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 2): 24 February 2023
As we approach the end of February we see that the apparent recovery in US equities may not be as strong as we may have thought. This week saw another drop of ~2.7% in the SPX (S&P 500 Index) from last week’s close and we are now up only 3.4% on the year after hitting […]
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