Although we regularly emphasize the importance of Risk Management on this site I often worry that members may feel that we do not provide definitive solutions as to how this should be achieved, despite the fact that we make available tools such as the position sizing spreadsheet. The reason for this is that there is […]

This is a quick post to prepare Platinum members for the coming week.  Take a look at the ETFs that are under-performing SHY.  Those are the ETFs to move out of the portfolio.  Pay particular attention to ETFs with negative absolute acceleration.  TLT, VNQ, and GLD are on my chopping bloc as all three are […]

Readers who have been following the discussion on future return projections will find the following information of interest.  Using the Hoadley “Efficient Frontier” software, I set out to see what the optimal projections would be for three different time periods.  In each case I selected two years of historical data as that is the default […]

Zion National Park On page 167 of Mebane T. Faber and Eric W. Richardson’s book, “The Ivy Portfolio: How to Invest Like the Top Endowments and Avoid Bear Markets” we read, “Our research has shown that returns are lower and volatility is higher when asset classes are below the 10-month moving average.”  What investor is […]

Even though some of us may have been wary of the continuing strength of the markets for a few months now, over the past week, we may have been getting the feeling that some signs of weakness are beginning to show in the markets. In a standard margin account we could consider shorting assets to […]

Two international ETFs lost ground over the last few trading days.  Both VEU and IDV are now performing below SHY as Platinum members can see from the rankings table shown below. ETF Rankings:  Based on the following data we will continue to lower allocations to asset classes such as Commodities (DBC), Gold (GLD), International REITs […]