As we move towards the mid-term elections it is appropriate that we recognize the historical significance of the "Presidential Cycle": Thus, although most of us are very nervous that we are close to all-time highs in the SPX (S&P 500 Index), US Equities are up ~14% so far this year in a year that has historically been the weakest, averaging only 5%. Add to that the fact that the third year … [Read More...]
Schrodinger Portfolio Review: 11 January 2023
Looking for a passive portfolio where you do nothing but save? The Schrodinger is the portfolio for you. Schwab calls these "Intelligent Portfolios." I refer to them as Robo Advisor portfolios as they are managed by computer. The owner of the … [Read more]
Hawking Portfolio Review: 10 January, 2023
The Hawking Portfolio is a Buy-and-Hold "Income" Portfolio built from Closed-End-Funds (CEFs) paying high yields (>8%) and, generally, selling at a discount (at least at the time of purchase). The composition of the current portfolio looks like … [Read more]
Millikan Portfolio Update: 10 January 2023
Millikan, one of four Sector BPI portfolios, is the model up for review this morning. This portfolio previously was managed using the BHS/Relative Momentum model and was not performing as expected. I just checked and it ranked #14 based on IRR data … [Read more]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 9 January, 2023
We start off the New Year with the following picture of performance for the Kahneman-Tversky (K-T) Portfolio through 2022: The portfolio showed less volatility than the benchmark AOR Fund but returns were slightly lower with a ~16% draw-down on the … [Read more]
Huygens Portfolio Review: 9 January 2023
Huygens is one of the income portfolios that is constructed around Closed-End-Funds. It is best to use this approach with tax deferred accounts as much of the growth is tied to dividends. This is a relative new investing model here at ITA and as … [Read more]
Darwin Portfolio Review: 6 January 2023
The Darwin Portfolio is a relatively inert portfolio in that all assets in the portfolio quiver are held continuously (Buy-and-Hold) in allocations designed to keep the risk from each asset at defined levels as calculated from volatility measurements … [Read more]
Carson Portfolio Review: 9 January 2023
With no Bullish Percent Indicators positioned in either the over-bought or over-sold zones, I could have skipped this update of the Carson. No changes are required at this time. There is one change in the Sector BPI model that I'll explain in a … [Read more]
Bullish Percent Indicators: 6 January 2023
Bullish Percent Indicators for this first week in January indicate no sectors are over-sold. Technology move above the 30% bullish line yesterday as it was the lone over-sold sector on Thursday. If you are managing a Sector BPI portfolio and using … [Read more]
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