The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum (DM) Portfolio that needs little adjustment/management. The choice is to invest in only one of three ETFs or move to Cash (or SHY). The only “complexity” comes from the fact that the portfolio is split into two portions that use different look-back periods to measure Momentum. Performance […]
Hawking Portfolio Review: 3 March, 2023
The Hawking Portfolio is an “Income” portfolio built from Closed-End-Funds (CEFs). As such, it requires very little management, other than to re-invest any dividends paid, except for occasional reviews to check on current yields (min 8% target) and discount/premium to Net Asset Value (NAV). The Portfolio is currently holding 25 CEFs with an estimated annual […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 4): 10 March 2023
It was a brutal week in the US equity markets with stocks down ~5% on the week: This has taken us below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and other potential support levels at ~3940 and back into the 1 SD downtrend channel that started at the bebinning of the year. This suggests a possible […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 5): 17 March 2023
It was a difficult week in the US equity markets with the SPX gaining ~1% in a volatile week of market action: We are at the bottom of a 2 SD short-term uptrend channel and close to the top of a 2 SD longer term downtrend channel. There is support/resistance in this general area and […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 2): 31 March 2023
The first Quater of 2023 ended with US equities putting in a strong performance closing up over 3.6% from last week’s close. Price is getting squeezed in that pendant zone between the 2 heavy yellow boundaries of the bearish and bullish trend channels. We can expect to see a breakout in one direction or the […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 3): 6 April 2023
In a holiday-shortened week US equities were relatively quiet but managed to close the week up ~1% from last week’s close: However price is still hanging around in that pendant pattern (defined by yellow boundary lines of the bearish and bullish 2 SD channels) and we still have no obvious reason to favor either a […]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 6 April 2023
The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum Portfolio where we pick only one of three assets in our investment quiver (providing they have positive momentum relative to SHY – our “risk-free” benchmark fund). The only diversification here is that we split the portfolio and use a long-term (252-day) momentum look-back period for one half […]
Portfolio Performance Comparisons: 7 April 2023
Approximately once a month I post the following portfolio performance data table. Readers need to keep in mind that the data is a rolling look at portfolio performance and is based on the date shown in the third column from the right. Annual IRR data (third column from the left) is current as of April […]
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