As investors we know 2022 was a poor year, particularly for stocks or equities. Just how bad was it? The following performance table lays out the painful news. One does need to remember that 2021 was a stellar year so we need to accept the bad with the good.
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 30 December, 2022
The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, that uses the simplest Dual Momentum (DM) model to select one asset from a basket of three, did not perform particularly well in 2022: closing down ~18.4% on the year. While this is slightly less than the ~20% drop in value of US equities over the same period it does not beat […]
Darwin Portfolio Review: 6 January 2023
The Darwin Portfolio is a relatively inert portfolio in that all assets in the portfolio quiver are held continuously (Buy-and-Hold) in allocations designed to keep the risk from each asset at defined levels as calculated from volatility measurements over time. Throughout most of 2022 I had this risk level set to a rather high level […]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 9 January, 2023
We start off the New Year with the following picture of performance for the Kahneman-Tversky (K-T) Portfolio through 2022: The portfolio showed less volatility than the benchmark AOR Fund but returns were slightly lower with a ~16% draw-down on the year. This compares with a drop of ~19% in US equities over the same period. […]
Hawking Portfolio Review: 10 January, 2023
The Hawking Portfolio is a Buy-and-Hold “Income” Portfolio built from Closed-End-Funds (CEFs) paying high yields (>8%) and, generally, selling at a discount (at least at the time of purchase). The composition of the current portfolio looks like this: with performance over the past 2 years looking like this: i.e. returns have stayed consistently ahead of […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 2): 20 January 2023
It’s the year of the Rabbit and we’re hopping around tentatively trying to find a direction for the markets in 2023: I’ve updated the trend channels in the above figure, since these are somewhat discretionary, but it is not clear whether we are still in a downtrend (sitting at the top of the downtrend channel) […]
Portfolio Performance Comparisons: 28 January 2023
It has been a number of weeks since I last reported on the ITA portfolio performances. Since the last report all portfolios have improved using either return or risk as measuring sticks. Checking the following data table, only two portfolios, Pauling and Kepler, are not keeping up or exceeding the AOA benchmark. I would need […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 3): 27 January 2023
It was a bullish week for US equities with the SPX up over 2.6% on the week: and touching (but not closing above) the 4100 level that might indicate a reversal of the 2022 downtrend. In terms of relative strength, US equities outperformed all other major asset classes except for US Real estate: Current holdings […]
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