The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum Portfolio that needs little management/adjustment. It is split into two portions – one that is relatively slow in reacting to changes in market conditions – the Kahneman portion – and one that reacts a little more quickly (but may be more subject to whipsaw trades) – the […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 4): 3 February 2023
US Equities had another strong week with the S&P 500 Index up close to 2% on the week and ~7.7% in the month from the closing price on 31 December 2022: We have now taken out the prior December high at 4100 and closed above this level – so we could tentatively call a valid […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 3): 27 January 2023
It was a bullish week for US equities with the SPX up over 2.6% on the week: and touching (but not closing above) the 4100 level that might indicate a reversal of the 2022 downtrend. In terms of relative strength, US equities outperformed all other major asset classes except for US Real estate: Current holdings […]
Portfolio Performance Comparisons: 28 January 2023
It has been a number of weeks since I last reported on the ITA portfolio performances. Since the last report all portfolios have improved using either return or risk as measuring sticks. Checking the following data table, only two portfolios, Pauling and Kepler, are not keeping up or exceeding the AOA benchmark. I would need […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 2): 20 January 2023
It’s the year of the Rabbit and we’re hopping around tentatively trying to find a direction for the markets in 2023: I’ve updated the trend channels in the above figure, since these are somewhat discretionary, but it is not clear whether we are still in a downtrend (sitting at the top of the downtrend channel) […]
Hawking Portfolio Review: 10 January, 2023
The Hawking Portfolio is a Buy-and-Hold “Income” Portfolio built from Closed-End-Funds (CEFs) paying high yields (>8%) and, generally, selling at a discount (at least at the time of purchase). The composition of the current portfolio looks like this: with performance over the past 2 years looking like this: i.e. returns have stayed consistently ahead of […]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 9 January, 2023
We start off the New Year with the following picture of performance for the Kahneman-Tversky (K-T) Portfolio through 2022: The portfolio showed less volatility than the benchmark AOR Fund but returns were slightly lower with a ~16% draw-down on the year. This compares with a drop of ~19% in US equities over the same period. […]
Darwin Portfolio Review: 6 January 2023
The Darwin Portfolio is a relatively inert portfolio in that all assets in the portfolio quiver are held continuously (Buy-and-Hold) in allocations designed to keep the risk from each asset at defined levels as calculated from volatility measurements over time. Throughout most of 2022 I had this risk level set to a rather high level […]
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