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You are here: Home / Archives for hedgehunter

Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 30 December, 2022

January 1, 2023 By hedgehunter

The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, that uses the simplest Dual Momentum (DM) model to select one asset from a basket of three, did not perform particularly well in 2022: closing down ~18.4% on the year. While this is slightly less than the ~20% drop in value of US equities over the same period it does not beat […]

Filed Under: Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, Portfolio Management, Portfolio Performance Tagged With: Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, Portfolio Management, Portfolio Performance

Hawking Portfolio Review: 4 November, 2022

November 6, 2022 By hedgehunter

The Hawking is an “Income” portfolio based on the income generated from Closed-End-Funds (CEFs). Current holdings look like this:

Filed Under: Hawking Portfolio, Portfolio Management, Portfolio Performance Tagged With: Hawking Portfolio, Portfolio Management, Portfolio Performance

Using Rotation Data in an Investment Strategy Model

August 27, 2022 By hedgehunter

Regular readers of this blog will be aware that I have been trying to define a model that might use data generated from calculations of momentum/relative strength that generates “rotational” graphs that look like this: Where we see a general clockwise rotation of momentum over time (the length of the tail). If we accept that […]

Filed Under: Miscellaneous Tagged With: Miscellaneous

Learning More About Options

April 18, 2022 By hedgehunter

This post is a follow-up to comments/requests made in response to my recent post on “Protecting Portfolio Performance” (https://itawealth.com/protecting-portfolio-performance/). Understanding Options can be a difficult subject – but understanding Options is nowhere near as difficult as learning how to make money trading Options – and this is difficult to teach. After discussions with Lowell, I […]

Filed Under: Miscellaneous, Options Tagged With: Options

Protecting Portfolio Performance

April 16, 2022 By hedgehunter

We are all conscious of the fact that US Equity markets have been in a strong bullish trend since the financial crisis of 2008. With the exception of the 2020 Covid-19 correction – a ~20% pullback in prices from which we recovered very quickly – we have not seen a draw-down of greater than 18% […]

Filed Under: Options, Portfolio Management Tagged With: Options, Portfolio Management

Response to Comments made by ITA member (John Shelton)

January 23, 2022 By hedgehunter

In reaction to my recent Rutherford Review post (https://itawealth.com/rutherford-portfolio-review-tranche-5-21-january-2022/ ) John Shelton commented and asked the following questions: “Thx for the very gloomy report. From a psychological perspective, what influence do these trend parameters have on the BHS buy and sell plans? Those of us who study such things know that the Recency Bias would […]

Filed Under: Critical Material, Beginning Investors Tagged With: Beginning Investors, BHS Model, Critical Material

Hindsight is 2021 – A Year-End Retrospective and Lessons for 2022

January 4, 2022 By hedgehunter

Portfolio Construction The following screenshot tells us almost all we really need to know about 2021 – it was a great year to invest in US equities: The S&P 500 Index was up 29% on the year with 70 new highs on the way up and only two (short-lived) corrections of over 4%. Likewise, the […]

Filed Under: Critical Material Tagged With: Critical Material

If Only I Had Been Smart Enough …..

November 6, 2021 By hedgehunter

In my recent Rutherford Review Post I spent a little time describing some of the features of Fibonacci Technical Analysis. I mentioned that I don’t usually use this analysis for Investment purposes (other than, maybe, to help me set stop loss orders) but that I sometimes use it for other “trades”. For fun, since I […]

Filed Under: Miscellaneous

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