It was a very quiet week in US Equity markets with the S&P 500 Index trading in a tight ~40 point range: However, the SPX did close down slightly from last week’s close after hitting it’s head against strong resistance at ~4150-4200 – an area that has shown strong support/resistance in the past (arrows). In […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 4): 14 April 2023
US equities were up ~1% from last week’s close: and closed just outside the upper 2 SD boundary of the longer term downtrend channel. However, price is at the 50% retracement level of the peak-trough range of this channel that has provided significant support and resistance in the past. We really need to take out […]
Hawking Portfolio Review: 6 April 2023
The Hawking Portfolio is, essentially, a Buy-And-Hold Portfolio designed to generate Income from investments in Closed End Funds (CEFs). This class of Funds were hit quite hard over the past month: although the dividends generated by the Funds is still keeping portfolio returns ahead of the benchmark AOR Fund. Being an Income Fund the only […]
Darwin Portfolio Review: 6 April 2023
The Darwin Portfolio is a “Buy-And-Hold” portfolio of assets that is only adjusted when allocations fall out-of-line with recommendations based on risk parity (i.e. equal risk on all holdings). Performance to date (~4 months from inception) looks like this: or, in stacked format: because of the adjustments these plots are a little difficult to follow […]
A Review/Comparison of Momentum Systems
Every year I take a breathe and find a little time to review my portfolios and the systems that I am using to manage those portfolios. As we remind readers almost every month, no system works “best” in all market conditions, and we don’t know what those conditions will be in the future, so it […]
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 6 April 2023
The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio is a simple Dual Momentum Portfolio where we pick only one of three assets in our investment quiver (providing they have positive momentum relative to SHY – our “risk-free” benchmark fund). The only diversification here is that we split the portfolio and use a long-term (252-day) momentum look-back period for one half […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 3): 6 April 2023
In a holiday-shortened week US equities were relatively quiet but managed to close the week up ~1% from last week’s close: However price is still hanging around in that pendant pattern (defined by yellow boundary lines of the bearish and bullish 2 SD channels) and we still have no obvious reason to favor either a […]
Rutherford Portfolio Review (Tranche 2): 31 March 2023
The first Quater of 2023 ended with US equities putting in a strong performance closing up over 3.6% from last week’s close. Price is getting squeezed in that pendant zone between the 2 heavy yellow boundaries of the bearish and bullish trend channels. We can expect to see a breakout in one direction or the […]
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