It’s the year of the Rabbit and we’re hopping around tentatively trying to find a direction for the markets in 2023: I’ve updated the trend channels in the above figure, since these are somewhat discretionary, but it is
Hawking Portfolio Review: 10 January, 2023
The Hawking Portfolio is a Buy-and-Hold “Income” Portfolio built from Closed-End-Funds (CEFs) paying high yields (>8%) and, generally, selling at a discount (at least at the time of purchase). The composition of the current portfolio looks like this: with performance over the past 2 years
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 9 January, 2023
We start off the New Year with the following picture of performance for the Kahneman-Tversky (K-T) Portfolio through 2022: The portfolio showed less volatility than the benchmark AOR Fund but returns were slightly lower with a ~16% draw-down on the year. This compares with a
Darwin Portfolio Review: 6 January 2023
The Darwin Portfolio is a relatively inert portfolio in that all assets in the portfolio quiver are held continuously (Buy-and-Hold) in allocations designed to keep the risk from each asset at defined levels as calculated from volatility measurements over time. Throughout most of 2022 I
Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio Review: 30 December, 2022
The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, that uses the simplest Dual Momentum (DM) model to select one asset from a basket of three, did not perform particularly well in 2022: closing down ~18.4% on the year. While this is slightly less than the ~20% drop in value
McClintock Portfolio Review: 23 November 2022
Of all the Dual Momentum™ portfolios, the McClintock stands out as the top performer. The exact reason remains somewhat of a mystery. I attribute the excellent performance to the luck-of-review-day as the operational model is the same for
Investment Policy Statement: February 2022
The following investment policy statement was developed by a retired teacher, with help from a financial advisor. INVESTMENT POLICY STATEMENT: Charles Ellis: Winning the Loser’s Game: Timeless Strategies for Successful Investing “[An investment] policy is the most powerful antidote to panic. The best shield for long-term policies against the
Why Focus On Value and Momentum
ITA followers know that even the passively managed portfolios are skewed toward the value side of a broad Strategic Asset Allocation plan. Here is an example from the Schrodinger portfolio Dashboard. Schrodinger Dashboard: Schrodinger’s Strategic Asset Allocation plan is laid out in the following Dashboard. Check the nine asset
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