We start off the New Year with the following picture of performance for the Kahneman-Tversky (K-T) Portfolio through 2022: The portfolio showed less volatility than the benchmark AOR Fund but returns were slightly lower with a ~16% draw-down on the year. This compares with a drop of ~19% in US equities over the same period. […]
Archives for January 2023
Huygens Portfolio Review: 9 January 2023
Huygens is one of the income portfolios that is constructed around Closed-End-Funds. It is best to use this approach with tax deferred accounts as much of the growth is tied to dividends. This is a relative new investing model here at ITA and as such the model is under performance notice. In other words, I […]
Darwin Portfolio Review: 6 January 2023
The Darwin Portfolio is a relatively inert portfolio in that all assets in the portfolio quiver are held continuously (Buy-and-Hold) in allocations designed to keep the risk from each asset at defined levels as calculated from volatility measurements over time. Throughout most of 2022 I had this risk level set to a rather high level […]
Carson Portfolio Review: 9 January 2023
With no Bullish Percent Indicators positioned in either the over-bought or over-sold zones, I could have skipped this update of the Carson. No changes are required at this time. There is one change in the Sector BPI model that I’ll explain in a moment and it has to do with how one determines the maximum […]
Bullish Percent Indicators: 6 January 2023
Bullish Percent Indicators for this first week in January indicate no sectors are over-sold. Technology move above the 30% bullish line yesterday as it was the lone over-sold sector on Thursday. If you are managing a Sector BPI portfolio and using end-of-week data, you will do nothing this week. Follow along. Index BPI Overall, the […]
Gauss Portfolio Update: 6 January 2023
Gauss, a former Relative Momentum portfolio, is the Sector BPI Model account up for review or update this morning. When I update a Sector BPI portfolio I collect the most recent Bullish Percent Indicator data possible. That was very important this morning as Energy (VDE) moved above the 30% threshold or what is the over-sold […]
Franklin Portfolio Update: 5 January 2023
Franklin is another Sector BPI portfolio and one I would have passed over this week were it not for a recommended change. Follow along with the logic below.
Kepler Portfolio Review: 4 January 2023
Kepler, one of two remaining Relative Momentum portfolios, is the account up for review today. This review comes at a time when the U.S. Congress is a mess and we have concerns such disruptions may work their way into the financial markets. Readers will note the cautious approach when working with portfolios such as the […]








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