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Regression Analysis and The Schwert Effect

July 21, 2014 By Lowell Herr

  Regression Analysis is the investment communities effort to apply the scientific method to portfolio analysis.  Let’s take a little time to explain what is meant by Regression Analysis.  As you might remember from your math and science classes, data is plotted on an Y – X axis.  For example, in physics it is common […]

Filed Under: Beginning Investors, Critical Material Tagged With: Critical Material

Gounod’s Messe solennelle de Sainte Cecile

July 13, 2014 By Lowell Herr

Gounod’s “Messe solennelle en l’honneur de Sainte Cecile” contains some of the most beautiful music one might ever want to hear.  My favorite selections from this masterpiece are Sanctus and Benedictus, cuts five and six.  I first heard Sanctus in the early 1950s when my parents brought home a vinyl recording that included the musical […]

Filed Under: Music Tagged With: Classical Music

“Markowitz” Projections During Great Recession

July 10, 2014 By Lowell Herr

Readers who have been following the discussion on future return projections will find the following information of interest.  Using the Hoadley “Efficient Frontier” software, I set out to see what the optimal projections would be for three different time periods.  In each case I selected two years of historical data as that is the default […]

Filed Under: Risk Management Tagged With: Risk Management

Basic Portfolio and Current ETF Rankings

June 21, 2014 By Lowell Herr

The following data table includes the latest ETF rankings for 20 basic ETFs and the Buy-Hold-Sell recommendations.  GLD is the only ETF under-performing SHY so I would avoid gold as an investment. ETF Rankings:  The overall strength of this market is illustrated by the fact that not one of these ETFs is priced below its […]

Filed Under: Portfolio Construction Tagged With: Portfolio Construction

Risk Parity: A Brief Explanation of How Risky a 60/40 Portfolio Really Is

June 13, 2014 By Lowell Herr

This is a follow-up to the HedgeHunter Risk Parity (RP) post.  This blog post will give readers an overview of how RP is calculated.  This not for the mathematically squeamish, but the concept is not difficult if one can get past one step in the logic.  I agree with HedgeHunter as to flaws in this […]

Filed Under: Critical Material, Risk Parity Tagged With: Risk Parity

Asset Allocation – Risk Parity Revisited: Part 1

June 12, 2014 By hedgehunter

Having selected a number of assets to include in a portfolio, a key decision any investor has to make is “What percentage of my available funds should I allocate to each asset held in my portfolio?” In the Feynman Study I covered a number of common options: 1. Use of a Strategic Asset Allocation Plan (SAA) – […]

Filed Under: Portfolio Construction, Risk Management, Risk Parity Tagged With: Risk Parity

Music of Alison Krauss

May 25, 2014 By Lowell Herr

Instead of recommending a particular CD, this week I focus on the artist, Alison Krauss.  As a late bloomer when it comes to many genres of music, I first heard Ms. Krauss in a few songs from the soundtrack of O Brother, Where Art Thou?  That is one CD I highly recommend.  Other albums featuring […]

Filed Under: Music Tagged With: Music Recommendations

What the Experts Say About Index Investing

May 2, 2014 By Lowell Herr

Perusing the Bogleheads web site, I found this long list of quotes from well known investment writers and managers.  Here is what they have to say about index investing.  These bits of wisdom further explain why I favor tilting investments toward non-managed index vehicles.  Further, I favor ETFs for their additional tax efficiency. American Association […]

Filed Under: Beginning Investors, Critical Material Tagged With: Index Investing

The High Cost of Fees

April 21, 2014 By Lowell Herr

High fees are to be avoided, particularly management fees.  Readers of ITA Wealth Management are well aware of my propensity to keep fees to a minimum and that is why I place so much emphasis on using commission free ETFs.  While most of you are managing your own money, there may be new readers of […]

Filed Under: Retirement Planning Tagged With: Retirement Planning

Bach’s St. John Passion

April 20, 2014 By Lowell Herr

  While Bach is well known for his St. Matthew Passion music, in some ways I prefer his St. John Passion compositions so here is my recommendation for the week.  I usually include a review from Amazon as most reviewers have a better knowledge of music than I do. “I resisted buying and then listening […]

Filed Under: Music Tagged With: Music

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