The Kahneman-Tversky Portfolio, that uses the simplest Dual Momentum (DM) model to select one asset from a basket of three, did not perform particularly well in 2022: closing down ~18.4% on the year. While this is slightly less than the ~20% drop in value of US equities over the same period it does not beat […]
Preparing the Millikan For Transition: 26 December 2022
Within the last few weeks I set up the Carson and Franklin to operate as Sector BPI portfolios. Over the next few weeks the Millikan and Gauss will join the original two. The Millikan and Gauss are laggards and not performing as well as expected. That is the motivation for the change. Millikan Investment Quiver […]
Merry Christmas
“Anyone who possesses the fine virtues of politeness, tolerance and generosity, honesty, diligence and benevolence can be regarded as a person of humanity. Politeness will save one from the insults of others; tolerance and generosity will evoke the love of others; honesty brings trust from people; diligence foretells success; and benevolence encourages others to […]
What To Do If The Kipling Spreadsheet Becomes Inoperative?
ITA readers who are using the Kipling spreadsheet in any form are aware that Finance-Yahoo (Yahoo) once more altered their downloading codes so we cannot pull security prices into the spreadsheet. Fortunately we have a backup system from Tiingo. If you do not have a Tiingo account (still free to my knowledge) set one up […]
Buying Guidelines For BPI Model Portfolios: 9 December 2022
BPI Model buying guidelines. Two of the sixteen portfolios I track here on the ITA blog are now managed using the Bullish Percent Indicator (BPI) Model. They are: Carson and Franklin. Thus far there have been few buying opportunities as the U.S. Equities market is in a mini-bull phase. It may turn into a full […]
ITA Portfolios: Breaking The Models Into Groups
Sixteen portfolios are currently under management at ITA Wealth Management. This does not include portfolios managed by Hedgehunter. This blog post explains to readers how the different portfolios are handled or managed. Each of the sixteen portfolios are reviewed at least every 33 calendar days. Several, such as the Carson, are updated each week. To […]
Thanksgiving Wishes
Happy Thanksgiving Sending all ITA readers Thanksgiving well wishes from Portland, Oregon. Thank you for keeping in touch and reading this investment blog. A few of you have been here for the nearly 15 years I’ve been writing this blog. A special thanks to Hedgehunter (David) for all his contributions to make this site even […]
McClintock Portfolio Review: 23 November 2022
Of all the Dual Momentum™ portfolios, the McClintock stands out as the top performer. The exact reason remains somewhat of a mystery. I attribute the excellent performance to the luck-of-review-day as the operational model is the same for all the DM portfolios. Based on five years of data with four different Dual Momentum (DM) portfolios, […]
New Carson Launched: 4 November 2022
Welcome to the new Carson portfolio. With the advent of the Carson we add another investing model to our arsenal. With few exceptions, ITA portfolios operate on the premise that momentum is a sound foundation for constructing portfolios. The Carson is quite different in that it can be classified as a contrary investing model. With […]
Carson Portfolio: Creating A New Investing Model – Sector BPI
Coming sometime over the next two month is a new investing model. I’ll classify it as a Bullish Percent Indicator ETF Sector Model. I’ve hinted at this approach from time to time, but have not laid out the investing strategy in detail. I have no back-testing to support this model so be cautious if you […]
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